Projected Cutline Explained
After two rounds, the top 60 players, including ties, will qualify to play the final two rounds. One of the interesting storylines as the day progresses will be keeping track of who makes the cut. The projected cutline on the leader board will track that progress.
Once the 79th player who tees off today has posted a score for his first hole, the USGA scoring system will begin projecting the cutline, which will appear on the leader board. The players below the line are projected to be heading home for the weekend.
We do not simply show the cutline at the player in 60th place, as everyone in the field would have to play even par for the remainder of the day for a cutline of that type to be accurate. Our goal is to project at the score at which the cutline will fall.
Our cutline projects what the leader board will look like at the end of the second round. That projection is determined using a combination of actual scores for players and the hole statistics for the holes they have yet to play. For example, if a player has played 17 holes in even par in the second round and his 18th hole is statistically a bogey hole, that player’s projected second-round score would be 1-over 71. That score would be combined with his first-round score to determine his projected 36-hole score.
We perform these calculations for every player after every hole, which impacts the hole statistics used to project players’ scores for the rest of their rounds. As players post scores, the projected cutline will move as the second round progresses.